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Red105
384751.2
557249.8
59866.6
Blue57
912110.6
582921.1
589228.1
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1005002040608012014016010557

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+36Teleop
+54Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave9
5Coral scored#0
24Coral points0
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +15
9Coral scored#6
31Coral points20
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
45Total teleop30
Reef
7L4#2
3L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#8
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +48
6Foul points12
105Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.21.4
40.541.8
Auto14.1
Teleop28.7
End8.4
red by 23.1
5892
#20
28.10.7
20.119.4
Auto6.0
Teleop20.4
End1.7
Second
49.81.4
37.138.4
Auto12.1
Teleop30.8
End6.9
red by 28.7
5829
#33
21.10.7
17.416.7
Auto3.9
Teleop14.3
End2.9
Third
5986
#25
6.61.4
9.310.7
Auto4.0
Teleop-0.8
End3.3
blue by 4.0
9121
#19
10.60.7
14.013.2
Auto3.3
Teleop5.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned38%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
74%Barge oddsEarned16%Barge oddsMissed