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Red44
69018.7
510318.9
572615.6
Blue43
47177.9
941829.3
903419.8
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions376602060801001204443

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+1
+1Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +2
6Coral scored#6
22Coral points20
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
32Total teleop30
Reef
1L4#3
3L3#1
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#9
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points0
44Total score43

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5103
#16
18.90.9
14.215.1
Auto3.8
Teleop13.0
End2.0
blue by 10.4
29.31.2
24.022.7
Auto4.8
Teleop20.9
End3.7
Second
5726
#26
15.60.9
11.912.8
Auto2.2
Teleop12.0
End1.4
blue by 4.2
9034
#17
19.81.2
18.717.5
Auto3.3
Teleop15.6
End1.0
Third
6901
#15
8.70.9
10.010.9
Auto3.3
Teleop3.8
End1.6
red by 0.9
4717
#32
7.91.2
11.410.1
Auto1.7
Teleop5.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
22%Auto oddsMissed21%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsMissed