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Red101
541420.3
931114.7
914027.5
Blue29
356119.3
1051813.4
72719.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63390208010012010129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+50Teleop
+48Endgame
+72Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave3
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
9Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +44
14Coral scored#4
50Coral points16
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
64Total teleop20
Reef
5L4#1
6L3#1
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +72
24Foul points0
101Total score29

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9140
#10
27.51.3
18.519.7
Auto3.2
Teleop23.2
End1.1
red by 8.2
3561
#18
19.31.6
14.012.4
Auto1.0
Teleop15.5
End2.7
Second
5414
#36
20.31.3
20.922.2
Auto4.2
Teleop15.1
End1.0
red by 6.9
13.41.6
11.49.8
Auto3.5
Teleop8.8
End1.1
Third
9311
#13
14.71.3
13.214.5
Auto3.1
Teleop9.6
End2.0
red by 5.7
7271
#35
9.01.6
8.56.9
Auto0.9
Teleop6.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsMissed10%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed