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Red38
96645.9
624314.3
75216.1
Blue101
801920.1
367924.2
59866.6
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3262020408010012038101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+19
Endgame+21
Fouls+63
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +19
4Coral scored#10
15Coral points36
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
25Total teleop44
Reef
2L4#4
1L3#3
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#2
6Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +63
0Foul points42
38Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6243
#11
14.30.2
15.114.9
Auto4.9
Teleop7.6
End1.7
blue by 10.0
24.20.5
20.219.7
Auto3.8
Teleop19.6
End0.8
Second
7521
#39
6.10.2
6.96.6
Auto1.6
Teleop4.4
End0.0
blue by 14.0
20.10.5
17.617.1
Auto4.0
Teleop13.9
End2.1
Third
9664
#34
5.90.2
6.26.0
Auto2.4
Teleop1.3
End2.3
blue by 0.7
5986
#25
6.60.5
10.710.2
Auto4.0
Teleop-0.8
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
5%Auto oddsMissed34%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsEarned