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Red75
589228.1
384751.2
903419.8
Blue11
1279.8
47177.9
71389.3
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions971804060801201401607511

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+48Teleop
+64Endgame
+64Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave3
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points3
20Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +34
8Coral scored#1
27Coral points5
0Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
0Processor points0
12Net points0
12Algae points0
39Total teleop5
Reef
5L4#1
3L3#0
2L2#0
1L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#2
BargeRed +16
16Cage & park0
16Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +64
0Foul points0
75Total score11

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.20.4
41.841.4
Auto14.1
Teleop28.7
End8.4
red by 41.4
127
#21
9.81.4
7.05.6
Auto3.3
Teleop4.7
End1.8
Second
5892
#20
28.10.4
19.419.0
Auto6.0
Teleop20.4
End1.7
red by 18.8
7138
#14
9.31.4
7.76.3
Auto2.3
Teleop5.5
End1.4
Third
9034
#17
19.80.4
17.517.1
Auto3.3
Teleop15.6
End1.0
red by 12.0
4717
#32
7.91.4
10.18.7
Auto1.7
Teleop5.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsMissed10%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsMissed