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Red29
43646.9
174516.2
857311.9
Blue25
912110.6
859810.8
510318.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3333202530354045502925

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+4Teleop
+10Endgame
+4Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +4
3Coral scored#3
10Coral points10
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
0Processor points0
4Net points0
4Algae points0
14Total teleop10
Reef
2L4#2
1L3#1
0L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
5Game pieces#4
BargeRed +6
6Cage & park0
6Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points6
29Total score25

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.20.4
19.619.3
Auto2.8
Teleop11.8
End1.5
blue by 2.7
5103
#16
18.91.7
15.113.4
Auto3.8
Teleop13.0
End2.0
Second
8573
#27
11.90.4
9.69.2
Auto3.7
Teleop6.0
End2.2
red by 1.1
8598
#38
10.81.7
6.65.0
Auto2.6
Teleop8.1
End0.1
Third
4364
#40
6.90.4
3.33.0
Auto3.1
Teleop2.6
End1.2
blue by 3.7
9121
#19
10.61.7
13.211.6
Auto3.3
Teleop5.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
11%Auto oddsMissed19%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed7%Barge oddsMissed