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Red100
557249.8
37437.5
589228.1
Blue127
636963.6
71389.3
1051813.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82894060100120140100127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+7Teleop
Endgame+3
Fouls+27
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave9
4Coral scored#3
21Coral points14
27Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +3
10Coral scored#14
37Coral points52
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
12Processor points6
20Net points8
32Algae points14
69Total teleop66
Reef
4L4#8
5L3#3
4L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +27
0Foul points24
100Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.82.1
45.447.4
Auto12.1
Teleop30.8
End6.9
blue by 13.8
63.61.8
61.463.2
Auto15.0
Teleop39.3
End9.3
Second
5892
#20
28.12.1
23.225.3
Auto6.0
Teleop20.4
End1.7
red by 14.6
13.41.8
10.812.6
Auto3.5
Teleop8.8
End1.1
Third
3743
#37
7.52.1
6.08.1
Auto2.9
Teleop4.2
End0.5
blue by 1.7
7138
#14
9.31.8
8.610.4
Auto2.3
Teleop5.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsMissed47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed54%Barge oddsEarned