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Red16
861010.6
75216.1
174516.2
Blue32
912110.6
754012.9
624314.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4450102030406070801632

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+10
Endgame+12
Fouls+16
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +7
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points10
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
3Total teleop10
Reef
1L4#1
0L3#1
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
2Game pieces#4
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
2Foul points6
16Total score32

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.21.9
19.117.1
Auto2.8
Teleop11.8
End1.5
red by 1.9
6243
#11
14.31.4
17.215.8
Auto4.9
Teleop7.6
End1.7
Second
8610
#29DQ
10.61.9
12.010.1
Auto3.4
Teleop5.9
End1.3
blue by 2.2
7540
#12
12.91.4
13.211.8
Auto3.7
Teleop7.5
End1.6
Third
7521
#39
6.11.9
6.74.8
Auto1.6
Teleop4.4
End0.0
blue by 4.6
9121
#19
10.61.4
12.611.2
Auto3.3
Teleop5.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
12%Auto oddsMissed26%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsMissed