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Red62
582921.1
541420.3
908016.1
Blue71
903419.8
801920.1
572615.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6668506080906271

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+9
Endgame+9
Fouls+9
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave3
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +6
10Coral scored#11
35Coral points41
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
49Total teleop55
Reef
5L4#3
3L3#5
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points0
62Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5829
#33
21.10.1
18.718.7
Auto3.9
Teleop14.3
End2.9
red by 1.0
20.10.8
17.518.3
Auto4.0
Teleop13.9
End2.1
Second
5414
#36
20.30.0
19.119.0
Auto4.2
Teleop15.1
End1.0
red by 0.5
9034
#17
19.80.9
18.719.6
Auto3.3
Teleop15.6
End1.0
Third
9080
#30
16.10.0
13.213.1
Auto5.1
Teleop8.7
End2.4
red by 0.5
5726
#26
15.60.8
14.315.1
Auto2.2
Teleop12.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
18%Auto oddsMissed14%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed