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Red87
914027.5
1279.8
887421.0
Blue25
96645.9
931114.7
47177.9
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions582902040801001208725

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+34Teleop
+32Endgame
+62Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +31
10Coral scored#4
36Coral points15
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
6Processor points0
4Net points0
10Algae points0
46Total teleop15
Reef
4L4#1
2L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#4
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +62
30Foul points0
87Total score25

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9140
#10
27.50.5
21.622.2
Auto3.2
Teleop23.2
End1.1
red by 12.8
9311
#13
14.70.8
15.114.3
Auto3.1
Teleop9.6
End2.0
Second
21.00.5
16.417.0
Auto4.2
Teleop14.7
End2.1
red by 13.1
4717
#32
7.90.8
7.87.0
Auto1.7
Teleop5.4
End0.7
Third
127
#21
9.80.5
7.88.4
Auto3.3
Teleop4.7
End1.8
red by 3.9
9664
#34
5.90.8
4.73.9
Auto2.4
Teleop1.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
20%Auto oddsMissed7%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsEarned21%Barge oddsMissed