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Red45
1051813.4
43646.9
862512.9
Blue95
857311.9
45731.7
941829.3
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions308302040601001201404595

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
Teleop+42
Endgame+50
Fouls+50
AutonomousBlue +9
0Leave3
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points15
9Total auto18
TeleoperatedBlue +33
6Coral scored#11
22Coral points39
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
0Processor points12
8Net points12
8Algae points24
30Total teleop63
Reef
2L4#6
3L3#2
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +50
0Foul points0
45Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
13.40.8
10.010.8
Auto3.5
Teleop8.8
End1.1
blue by 18.3
457
#4
31.71.9
29.231.1
Auto6.3
Teleop18.4
End7.0
Second
8625
#24
12.90.8
11.512.3
Auto2.4
Teleop6.8
End3.6
blue by 16.5
29.31.9
23.525.4
Auto4.8
Teleop20.9
End3.7
Third
4364
#40
6.90.8
4.25.0
Auto3.1
Teleop2.6
End1.2
blue by 5.0
8573
#27
11.91.9
9.411.3
Auto3.7
Teleop6.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
8%Auto oddsMissed28%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed55%Barge oddsEarned