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Red23
750311.1
94483.1
43646.9
Blue105
914027.5
903419.8
356119.3
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1570040608010012014023105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+82
Endgame+80
Fouls+82
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +85
2Coral scored#19
8Coral points67
0Processor algae#3
0Net algae#2
0Processor points18
0Net points8
0Algae points26
8Total teleop93
Reef
1L4#8
1L3#6
0L2#3
0L1 · trough#3
2Game pieces#25
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +82
0Foul points2
23Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7503
#31
11.10.2
11.911.7
Auto3.1
Teleop6.8
End1.2
blue by 16.4
9140
#10
27.53.3
22.225.4
Auto3.2
Teleop23.2
End1.1
Second
4364
#40
6.90.2
5.04.8
Auto3.1
Teleop2.6
End1.2
blue by 12.9
9034
#17
19.83.3
19.622.9
Auto3.3
Teleop15.6
End1.0
Third
9448
#41
3.10.2
3.12.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop0.9
End2.3
blue by 16.2
3561
#18
19.33.3
15.218.5
Auto1.0
Teleop15.5
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
4%Auto oddsMissed14%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed