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Red29
859810.8
72719.0
47177.9
Blue73
367924.2
61558.8
582921.1
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25550204060801002973

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
Teleop+46
Endgame+44
Fouls+44
AutonomousBlue +9
3Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
3Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +37
4Coral scored#13
16Coral points45
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
6Processor points6
0Net points8
6Algae points14
22Total teleop59
Reef
1L4#6
1L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
5Game pieces#17
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +44
0Foul points0
29Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8598
#38
10.80.5
8.89.2
Auto2.6
Teleop8.1
End0.1
blue by 13.5
24.22.3
18.520.7
Auto3.8
Teleop19.6
End0.8
Second
7271
#35
9.00.5
7.57.9
Auto0.9
Teleop6.6
End1.5
blue by 12.1
5829
#33
21.12.3
18.720.9
Auto3.9
Teleop14.3
End2.9
Third
4717
#32
7.90.5
7.07.5
Auto1.7
Teleop5.4
End0.7
blue by 0.9
6155
#22
8.82.3
8.210.5
Auto2.5
Teleop4.8
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
8%Auto oddsMissed17%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
7%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsMissed