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Red38
931114.7
59866.6
71389.3
Blue68
862512.9
754012.9
541420.3
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3957020801003868

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+34
Endgame+36
Fouls+30
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave9
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +31
5Coral scored#10
18Coral points35
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
0Processor points6
4Net points12
4Algae points18
22Total teleop53
Reef
2L4#4
1L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
6Foul points0
38Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9311
#13
14.71.3
14.313.0
Auto3.1
Teleop9.6
End2.0
blue by 5.7
5414
#36
20.30.5
19.019.6
Auto4.2
Teleop15.1
End1.0
Second
7138
#14
9.31.2
10.49.3
Auto2.3
Teleop5.5
End1.4
blue by 3.6
7540
#12
12.90.5
11.812.3
Auto3.7
Teleop7.5
End1.6
Third
5986
#25
6.61.3
7.96.6
Auto4.0
Teleop-0.8
End3.3
blue by 6.2
8625
#24
12.90.6
12.312.9
Auto2.4
Teleop6.8
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
15%Auto oddsMissed24%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed