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Red131
367924.2
384751.2
887421.0
Blue80
635722.2
908016.1
859810.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10341020608012014016013180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+49Teleop
+59Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
6Leave0
5Coral scored#2
23Coral points9
29Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +29
18Coral scored#11
66Coral points39
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
6Processor points12
16Net points8
22Algae points20
88Total teleop59
Reef
8L4#4
6L3#3
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#17
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +51
0Foul points8
131Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.22.9
47.049.8
Auto14.1
Teleop28.7
End8.4
red by 29.0
6357
#23
22.21.5
20.221.7
Auto3.4
Teleop16.9
End1.9
Second
24.22.9
20.723.6
Auto3.8
Teleop19.6
End0.8
red by 8.1
9080
#30
16.11.5
13.114.6
Auto5.1
Teleop8.7
End2.4
Third
21.03.1
17.020.1
Auto4.2
Teleop14.7
End2.1
red by 10.2
8598
#38
10.81.5
9.210.8
Auto2.6
Teleop8.1
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsEarned10%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned7%Barge oddsMissed