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Red66
72719.0
931114.7
801920.1
Blue37
47177.9
750311.1
69018.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5742020801006637

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+35Teleop
+35Endgame
+29Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +35
10Coral scored#3
35Coral points10
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
6Processor points0
12Net points8
18Algae points8
53Total teleop18
Reef
4L4#1
4L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#6
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
0Foul points6
66Total score37

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.11.1
18.319.4
Auto4.0
Teleop13.9
End2.1
red by 9.0
7503
#31
11.10.6
11.711.1
Auto3.1
Teleop6.8
End1.2
Second
9311
#13
14.71.1
13.014.1
Auto3.1
Teleop9.6
End2.0
red by 6.0
6901
#15
8.70.7
9.48.7
Auto3.3
Teleop3.8
End1.6
Third
7271
#35
9.01.1
7.99.0
Auto0.9
Teleop6.6
End1.5
red by 1.2
4717
#32
7.90.6
7.56.9
Auto1.7
Teleop5.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
19%Auto oddsEarned13%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsEarned