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Red170
636963.6
384751.2
1051813.4
Blue132
557249.8
47177.9
45731.7
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1499750200170132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+28Teleop
+38Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
6Leave3
5Coral scored#5
24Coral points26
30Total auto29
TeleoperatedRed +27
18Coral scored#16
64Coral points59
4Processor algae#3
7Net algae#3
24Processor points18
28Net points12
52Algae points30
116Total teleop89
Reef
9L4#7
7L3#5
5L2#6
2L1 · trough#3
34Game pieces#27
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +38
0Foul points0
170Total score132

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.60.6
62.463.0
Auto15.0
Teleop39.3
End9.3
red by 13.8
49.80.5
48.749.2
Auto12.1
Teleop30.8
End6.9
Second
51.20.6
50.050.6
Auto14.1
Teleop28.7
End8.4
red by 19.5
457
#4
31.70.5
30.631.1
Auto6.3
Teleop18.4
End7.0
Third
13.40.6
12.312.9
Auto3.5
Teleop8.8
End1.1
red by 5.6
4717
#32
7.90.5
7.37.9
Auto1.7
Teleop5.4
End0.7