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Red78
941829.3
914027.5
43646.9
Blue78
589228.1
624314.3
908016.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions656450607080907878

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+2
Endgame+6
0Fouls0
AutonomousBlue +17
9Leave0
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points26
9Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +15
11Coral scored#9
41Coral points32
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
61Total teleop46
Reef
4L4#7
2L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Penalties & totallevel
6Foul points0
78Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.30.3
27.728.0
Auto4.8
Teleop20.9
End3.7
red by 1.3
5892
#20
28.10.5
27.628.1
Auto6.0
Teleop20.4
End1.7
Second
9140
#10
27.50.3
25.926.2
Auto3.2
Teleop23.2
End1.1
red by 11.4
9080
#30
16.10.5
15.616.1
Auto5.1
Teleop8.7
End2.4
Third
4364
#40
6.90.3
5.35.6
Auto3.1
Teleop2.6
End1.2
blue by 7.4
6243
#11
14.30.5
13.814.3
Auto4.9
Teleop7.6
End1.7