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Red184
1038521.4
11897.5
32446.3
Blue130
589250.5
664513.6
23149.4
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17811050100150200184130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+52Teleop
+62Endgame
+54Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave6
5Coral scored#3
27Coral points16
33Total auto22
TeleoperatedRed +41
22Coral scored#18
79Coral points66
3Processor algae#1
7Net algae#3
18Processor points6
28Net points12
46Algae points18
125Total teleop84
Reef
7L4#8
11L3#6
7L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
37Game pieces#25
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +54
0Foul points8
184Total score130

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
97.50.5
96.396.8
Auto21.1
Teleop64.9
End11.5
red by 47.1
50.50.2
49.749.9
Auto13.1
Teleop31.8
End5.5
Second
324
#4
46.30.5
45.145.6
Auto7.0
Teleop34.0
End5.4
blue by 3.1
231
#8
49.40.2
48.648.9
Auto8.6
Teleop32.1
End8.7
Third
21.40.5
20.220.7
Auto2.7
Teleop16.5
End2.3
red by 7.8
6645
#33
13.60.2
12.813.0
Auto3.0
Teleop7.8
End2.8