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Red195
1038521.4
11897.5
32446.3
Blue146
589250.5
664513.6
23149.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18011050100150200250195146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+59Teleop
+59Endgame
+49Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave3
7Coral scored#7
33Coral points33
33Total auto36
TeleoperatedRed +62
25Coral scored#16
90Coral points56
3Processor algae#1
7Net algae#3
18Processor points6
28Net points12
46Algae points18
136Total teleop74
Reef
9L4#9
10L3#8
7L2#3
6L1 · trough#3
42Game pieces#27
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +49
0Foul points10
195Total score146

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
97.50.7
96.897.5
Auto21.1
Teleop64.9
End11.5
red by 47.1
50.50.5
49.950.5
Auto13.1
Teleop31.8
End5.5
Second
324
#4
46.30.7
45.646.3
Auto7.0
Teleop34.0
End5.4
blue by 3.1
231
#8
49.40.5
48.949.4
Auto8.6
Teleop32.1
End8.7
Third
21.40.7
20.721.4
Auto2.7
Teleop16.5
End2.3
red by 7.8
6645
#33
13.60.5
13.013.6
Auto3.0
Teleop7.8
End2.8