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Red55
258733.1
905113.3
664513.6
Blue54
711510.6
769118.5
930721.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6044020801001205554

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+1Teleop
+3Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave0
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
6Total auto3
TeleoperatedBlue +2
8Coral scored#10
27Coral points35
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#3
6Processor points0
12Net points12
18Algae points12
45Total teleop47
Reef
4L4#5
2L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#14
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points2
55Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2587
#26
33.10.8
28.928.1
Auto7.7
Teleop23.7
End1.7
red by 11.8
9307
#16
21.30.1
11.511.4
Auto3.8
Teleop15.6
End2.0
Second
6645
#33
13.60.8
8.88.0
Auto3.0
Teleop7.8
End2.8
blue by 4.9
7691
#24
18.50.1
14.714.6
Auto3.1
Teleop13.5
End1.9
Third
9051
#21
13.30.8
13.112.3
Auto2.4
Teleop8.5
End2.5
red by 2.7
7115
#22
10.60.1
10.310.2
Auto3.2
Teleop6.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsMissed20%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed