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Red41
761618.2
125519.1
875011.4
Blue82
749247.3
258540.1
592311.5
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions508101001504182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+33
Endgame+45
Fouls+41
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave0
2Coral scored#3
12Coral points16
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +29
3Coral scored#8
11Coral points30
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
15Total teleop44
Reef
2L4#3
1L3#3
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
6Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +41
10Foul points6
41Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1255
#23
19.10.7
14.814.1
Auto3.9
Teleop12.8
End2.4
blue by 28.2
47.30.7
32.733.5
Auto11.7
Teleop33.5
End2.1
Second
7616
#17
18.20.7
17.516.7
Auto4.3
Teleop11.0
End2.9
blue by 21.9
40.10.7
27.528.2
Auto6.5
Teleop25.7
End7.9
Third
8750
#27
11.40.8
9.68.8
Auto2.9
Teleop6.3
End2.2
blue by 0.2
5923
#25
11.50.7
4.85.5
Auto2.1
Teleop7.4
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
19%Auto oddsEarned60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsEarned37%Barge oddsEarned