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Red120
1011828.5
32446.3
952415.6
Blue65
12722.2
505219.9
23149.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions967605015012065

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+27Teleop
+37Endgame
+55Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
15Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +21
13Coral scored#12
47Coral points42
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
12Processor points0
12Net points8
24Algae points8
71Total teleop50
Reef
5L4#4
5L3#4
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#15
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +55
18Foul points0
120Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
324
#4
46.31.8
32.234.0
Auto7.0
Teleop34.0
End5.4
blue by 3.1
231
#8
49.40.4
36.637.0
Auto8.6
Teleop32.1
End8.7
Second
28.51.8
30.932.8
Auto6.1
Teleop13.9
End8.5
red by 6.3
127
#15
22.20.5
9.810.3
Auto3.2
Teleop17.6
End1.4
Third
9524
#28
15.61.8
11.313.2
Auto2.7
Teleop12.2
End0.6
blue by 4.3
5052
#19
19.90.4
12.312.7
Auto2.7
Teleop15.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsEarned51%Barge oddsMissed