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Red104
592311.5
23149.4
354530.4
Blue70
125519.1
951221.6
590827.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8459204010012014016010470

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+14Teleop
+34Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
0Leave6
3Coral scored#0
15Coral points0
15Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +5
11Coral scored#12
41Coral points42
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#1
6Processor points12
16Net points4
22Algae points16
63Total teleop58
Reef
3L4#4
6L3#3
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#15
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +34
0Foul points0
104Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
231
#8
49.42.4
37.039.4
Auto8.6
Teleop32.1
End8.7
red by 22.1
5908
#14
27.31.3
16.617.9
Auto4.3
Teleop21.3
End1.6
Second
30.42.4
22.224.6
Auto4.2
Teleop16.4
End9.8
red by 8.9
9512
#31
21.61.3
16.818.1
Auto5.2
Teleop16.1
End0.2
Third
5923
#25
11.52.4
5.58.0
Auto2.1
Teleop7.4
End2.0
blue by 7.6
1255
#23
19.11.3
14.115.4
Auto3.9
Teleop12.8
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned37%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
74%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsMissed