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Red96
589250.5
1038521.4
941913.5
Blue128
952415.6
749247.3
635734.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65810204010012014096128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+38
Endgame+30
Fouls+32
AutonomousRed +1
6Leave3
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points16
20Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +39
13Coral scored#16
48Coral points59
1Processor algae#3
1Net algae#5
6Processor points18
4Net points20
10Algae points38
58Total teleop97
Reef
4L4#9
6L3#4
2L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#27
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
4Foul points6
96Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.52.2
31.433.6
Auto13.1
Teleop31.8
End5.5
red by 3.2
47.33.4
33.536.9
Auto11.7
Teleop33.5
End2.1
Second
21.42.2
14.516.7
Auto2.7
Teleop16.5
End2.3
blue by 13.4
34.83.4
24.527.9
Auto5.9
Teleop25.5
End3.4
Third
9419
#34
13.53.7
13.016.6
Auto3.3
Teleop8.5
End1.7
blue by 2.1
9524
#28
15.63.4
13.216.6
Auto2.7
Teleop12.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
19%Auto oddsMissed58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsEarned10%Barge oddsMissed