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Red95
590827.3
635734.8
505219.9
Blue43
1038521.4
952113.6
711510.6
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions714102060801001201401609543

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+44Teleop
+46Endgame
+52Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave0
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
9Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +38
13Coral scored#4
48Coral points16
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
62Total teleop24
Reef
6L4#1
3L3#2
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#7
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +52
18Foul points12
95Total score43

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.80.6
27.928.5
Auto5.9
Teleop25.5
End3.4
red by 13.4
21.41.0
16.715.7
Auto2.7
Teleop16.5
End2.3
Second
5908
#14
27.30.6
17.918.5
Auto4.3
Teleop21.3
End1.6
red by 13.6
9521
#30
13.61.0
10.19.1
Auto1.7
Teleop9.8
End2.1
Third
5052
#19
19.90.6
13.614.2
Auto2.7
Teleop15.0
End2.2
red by 9.3
7115
#22
10.61.0
10.89.8
Auto3.2
Teleop6.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsMissed9%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsEarned54%Barge oddsMissed