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Red98
885835.0
664513.6
354530.4
Blue43
12722.2
592311.5
731227.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions734902040601001201409843

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+41Teleop
+51Endgame
+55Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +41
15Coral scored#5
55Coral points18
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
69Total teleop28
Reef
7L4#2
4L3#3
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#9
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +55
6Foul points2
98Total score43

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8858
#10
35.02.1
21.123.2
Auto4.1
Teleop25.9
End5.0
red by 7.1
7312
#13
27.90.3
23.122.7
Auto4.4
Teleop22.0
End1.5
Second
30.42.1
24.626.7
Auto4.2
Teleop16.4
End9.8
red by 8.3
127
#15
22.20.3
9.69.3
Auto3.2
Teleop17.6
End1.4
Third
6645
#33
13.62.1
8.911.0
Auto3.0
Teleop7.8
End2.8
red by 2.0
5923
#25
11.50.3
8.07.7
Auto2.1
Teleop7.4
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
18%Auto oddsMissed12%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
79%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsMissed