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Red50
507016.6
1011828.5
258733.1
Blue72
125519.1
951610.2
624323.3
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1104601001502005072

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+16
Endgame+18
Fouls+22
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave9
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points3
15Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +19
6Coral scored#8
23Coral points28
1Processor algae#2
0Net algae#2
6Processor points12
0Net points8
6Algae points20
29Total teleop48
Reef
3L4#3
3L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +2
6Cage & park8
6Total endgame8
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points4
50Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2587
#26
33.12.3
28.225.9
Auto7.7
Teleop23.7
End1.7
red by 9.8
6243
#11
23.31.9
14.216.1
Auto5.3
Teleop15.3
End2.8
Second
28.52.3
33.331.0
Auto6.1
Teleop13.9
End8.5
red by 9.4
1255
#23
19.11.9
15.417.3
Auto3.9
Teleop12.8
End2.4
Third
5070
#20
16.62.3
17.114.8
Auto3.9
Teleop9.6
End3.1
red by 6.4
9516
#29
10.21.9
4.96.8
Auto3.0
Teleop5.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned27%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsMissed