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Red48
635734.8
941913.5
761618.2
Blue145
589250.5
354530.4
731227.9
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions629905015048145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+49
Endgame+67
Fouls+97
AutonomousBlue +21
6Leave6
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points24
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +28
6Coral scored#10
23Coral points37
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
6Processor points12
4Net points12
10Algae points24
33Total teleop61
Reef
3L4#5
2L3#3
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#4
9Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +18
6Cage & park24
6Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +97
0Foul points30
48Total score145

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.81.4
28.527.1
Auto5.9
Teleop25.5
End3.4
blue by 15.7
50.51.5
35.236.7
Auto13.1
Teleop31.8
End5.5
Second
7616
#17
18.21.4
17.215.9
Auto4.3
Teleop11.0
End2.9
blue by 12.3
30.41.5
26.728.2
Auto4.2
Teleop16.4
End9.8
Third
9419
#34
13.52.3
14.011.7
Auto3.3
Teleop8.5
End1.7
blue by 14.4
7312
#13
27.91.5
22.724.2
Auto4.4
Teleop22.0
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
15%Auto oddsMissed17%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed75%Barge oddsEarned