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Red149
12722.2
11897.5
875011.4
Blue56
592311.5
1011828.5
505219.9
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14356010020014956

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+87Teleop
+87Endgame
+93Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave0
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +80
22Coral scored#6
79Coral points21
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#1
12Processor points6
20Net points4
32Algae points10
111Total teleop31
Reef
12L4#3
4L3#2
4L2#2
5L1 · trough#1
32Game pieces#10
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +93
6Foul points0
149Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
97.51.6
89.290.8
Auto21.1
Teleop64.9
End11.5
red by 69.1
28.50.5
31.030.4
Auto6.1
Teleop13.9
End8.5
Second
127
#15
22.21.6
9.310.9
Auto3.2
Teleop17.6
End1.4
red by 2.3
5052
#19
19.90.5
14.213.7
Auto2.7
Teleop15.0
End2.2
Third
8750
#27
11.41.6
11.012.7
Auto2.9
Teleop6.3
End2.2
blue by 0.2
5923
#25
11.50.5
7.77.1
Auto2.1
Teleop7.4
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned64%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
79%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned67%Barge oddsEarned