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Red74
258733.1
590827.3
769118.5
Blue94
624323.3
749247.3
507016.6
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions708240601001201407494

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+22
Endgame+20
Fouls+20
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave6
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points13
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +19
9Coral scored#14
34Coral points49
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
6Processor points6
12Net points16
18Algae points22
52Total teleop71
Reef
4L4#6
4L3#4
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#22
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points0
74Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2587
#26
33.10.0
25.925.9
Auto7.7
Teleop23.7
End1.7
blue by 14.2
47.31.0
36.437.4
Auto11.7
Teleop33.5
End2.1
Second
5908
#14
27.30.0
18.518.5
Auto4.3
Teleop21.3
End1.6
red by 3.9
6243
#11
23.31.0
16.117.1
Auto5.3
Teleop15.3
End2.8
Third
7691
#24
18.50.0
14.414.5
Auto3.1
Teleop13.5
End1.9
red by 1.9
5070
#20
16.61.0
14.815.7
Auto3.9
Teleop9.6
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsMissed