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Red68
952415.6
885835.0
711510.6
Blue137
23149.4
951610.2
258540.1
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5790020408010012014016068137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+47
Endgame+69
Fouls+69
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
12Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +44
11Coral scored#15
38Coral points54
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#6
6Processor points18
8Net points24
14Algae points42
52Total teleop96
Reef
5L4#5
3L3#5
3L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +69
0Foul points0
68Total score137

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8858
#10
35.00.1
23.223.3
Auto4.1
Teleop25.9
End5.0
blue by 14.4
231
#8
49.43.2
39.042.2
Auto8.6
Teleop32.1
End8.7
Second
9524
#28
15.60.1
15.515.6
Auto2.7
Teleop12.2
End0.6
blue by 24.6
40.13.2
27.530.7
Auto6.5
Teleop25.7
End7.9
Third
7115
#22
10.60.1
9.89.9
Auto3.2
Teleop6.3
End1.2
red by 0.4
9516
#29
10.23.2
6.810.0
Auto3.0
Teleop5.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
17%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed72%Barge oddsEarned