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Red104
542736.9
125519.1
1011828.5
Blue104
1038521.4
664513.6
32446.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9677050150200104104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+18
Endgame+8
0Fouls0
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave0
2Coral scored#4
12Coral points22
15Total auto22
TeleoperatedBlue +11
10Coral scored#15
37Coral points54
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
12Processor points6
16Net points16
28Algae points22
65Total teleop76
Reef
4L4#5
4L3#6
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#24
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totallevel
8Foul points0
104Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.9
Auto4.5
Teleop25.6
End6.7
blue by 9.5
324
#4
46.3
Auto7.0
Teleop34.0
End5.4
Second
28.5
Auto6.1
Teleop13.9
End8.5
red by 7.0
21.4
Auto2.7
Teleop16.5
End2.3
Third
1255
#23
19.1
Auto3.9
Teleop12.8
End2.4
red by 5.5
6645
#33
13.6
Auto3.0
Teleop7.8
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned43%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned47%Barge oddsMissed