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Red49
952113.6
590827.3
941913.5
Blue158
930721.3
258733.1
12722.2
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions537002040608010012014049158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+61
Endgame+61
Fouls+109
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave0
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points16
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +54
6Coral scored#21
20Coral points76
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
12Processor points6
4Net points8
16Algae points14
36Total teleop90
Reef
2L4#10
2L3#5
1L2#5
1L1 · trough#4
9Game pieces#27
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +109
0Foul points48
49Total score158

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5908
#14
27.30.0
18.518.5
Auto4.3
Teleop21.3
End1.6
blue by 5.8
2587
#26
33.13.3
25.929.2
Auto7.7
Teleop23.7
End1.7
Second
9521
#30
13.60.0
10.910.8
Auto1.7
Teleop9.8
End2.1
blue by 8.5
127
#15
22.23.3
10.914.2
Auto3.2
Teleop17.6
End1.4
Third
9419
#34
13.50.0
11.711.7
Auto3.3
Teleop8.5
End1.7
blue by 7.8
9307
#16
21.33.3
15.118.4
Auto3.8
Teleop15.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
19%Auto oddsMissed38%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsEarned