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Qual 272025 FIT District Space City @ Friendswood Event
Red110
749247.3
711510.6
589250.5
Blue83
23149.4
624323.3
664513.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99765015020011083

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+29Teleop
+21Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave3
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points12
19Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +25
10Coral scored#9
37Coral points34
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#2
18Processor points12
24Net points8
42Algae points20
79Total teleop54
Reef
6L4#5
4L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
6Foul points0
110Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5892
#2
50.51.3
36.7→38.0
Auto13.1
Teleop31.8
End5.5
red by 1.1
231
#8
49.40.9
42.2→43.1
Auto8.6
Teleop32.1
End8.7
Second
7492
#9
47.31.3
37.4→38.8
Auto11.7
Teleop33.5
End2.1
red by 23.9
6243
#11
23.30.9
17.1→17.9
Auto5.3
Teleop15.3
End2.8
Third
7115
#22
10.61.3
9.9→11.3
Auto3.2
Teleop6.3
End1.2
blue by 2.9
6645
#33
13.60.9
11.0→11.8
Auto3.0
Teleop7.8
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed61%Barge oddsEarned