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Red85
507016.6
505219.9
542736.9
Blue60
952415.6
761618.2
731227.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions726302040801001201408560

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+15Teleop
+29Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave9
2Coral scored#0
10Coral points0
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +8
11Coral scored#9
39Coral points31
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
53Total teleop45
Reef
6L4#3
2L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#12
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
0Foul points4
85Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.91.5
30.131.6
Auto4.5
Teleop25.6
End6.7
red by 8.9
7312
#13
27.90.2
24.224.1
Auto4.4
Teleop22.0
End1.5
Second
5052
#19
19.91.5
13.715.2
Auto2.7
Teleop15.0
End2.2
red by 1.7
7616
#17
18.20.2
15.915.7
Auto4.3
Teleop11.0
End2.9
Third
5070
#20
16.61.5
15.717.2
Auto3.9
Teleop9.6
End3.1
red by 1.0
9524
#28
15.60.2
15.615.4
Auto2.7
Teleop12.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsEarned24%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsMissed