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Red143
731227.9
542736.9
258540.1
Blue85
1011828.5
624323.3
711510.6
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1127405010015020014385

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+5Auto
+56Teleop
+66Endgame
+58Fouls
AutonomousRed +5
3Leave0
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points15
20Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +51
18Coral scored#9
65Coral points32
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
12Processor points6
20Net points8
32Algae points14
97Total teleop46
Reef
8L4#6
5L3#3
4L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
28Game pieces#15
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +58
0Foul points8
143Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.12.5
33.235.8
Auto6.5
Teleop25.7
End7.9
red by 11.7
28.50.0
30.430.5
Auto6.1
Teleop13.9
End8.5
Second
36.92.5
31.634.1
Auto4.5
Teleop25.6
End6.7
red by 13.5
6243
#11
23.30.0
17.917.9
Auto5.3
Teleop15.3
End2.8
Third
7312
#13
27.92.5
24.126.6
Auto4.4
Teleop22.0
End1.5
red by 17.3
7115
#22
10.60.0
11.311.3
Auto3.2
Teleop6.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsEarned61%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
82%Barge oddsEarned78%Barge oddsEarned