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Red120
930721.3
635734.8
32446.3
Blue78
761618.2
354530.4
590827.3
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10473406012014016018020012078

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+44Teleop
+44Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave9
4Coral scored#1
19Coral points3
19Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +37
16Coral scored#9
59Coral points32
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
87Total teleop50
Reef
5L4#3
5L3#3
7L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +42
0Foul points2
120Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
324
#4
46.32.0
37.139.1
Auto7.0
Teleop34.0
End5.4
red by 15.9
30.40.5
29.029.4
Auto4.2
Teleop16.4
End9.8
Second
34.82.0
28.730.7
Auto5.9
Teleop25.5
End3.4
red by 7.5
5908
#14
27.30.5
18.519.0
Auto4.3
Teleop21.3
End1.6
Third
9307
#16
21.32.0
18.420.5
Auto3.8
Teleop15.6
End2.0
red by 3.1
7616
#17
18.20.5
15.716.2
Auto4.3
Teleop11.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned35%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsEarned65%Barge oddsEarned