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Red39
592311.5
507016.6
951221.6
Blue77
905113.3
12722.2
952415.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5557304050607080903977

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+36
Endgame+38
Fouls+38
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave3
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +33
6Coral scored#9
20Coral points33
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#5
6Processor points6
0Net points20
6Algae points26
26Total teleop59
Reef
2L4#4
3L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
8Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +38
0Foul points0
39Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9512
#31
21.60.8
18.017.2
Auto5.2
Teleop16.1
End0.2
blue by 0.6
127
#15
22.21.8
14.216.0
Auto3.2
Teleop17.6
End1.4
Second
5070
#20
16.60.8
17.216.4
Auto3.9
Teleop9.6
End3.1
red by 1.0
9524
#28
15.61.8
15.417.3
Auto2.7
Teleop12.2
End0.6
Third
5923
#25
11.50.8
7.36.5
Auto2.1
Teleop7.4
End2.0
blue by 1.8
9051
#21
13.31.8
13.915.7
Auto2.4
Teleop8.5
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsMissed27%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed