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Red48
664513.6
941913.5
811423.0
Blue99
875011.4
505219.9
885835.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions536402040801001204899

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+35
Endgame+45
Fouls+51
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave9
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +32
7Coral scored#10
24Coral points36
1Processor algae#3
0Net algae#2
6Processor points18
0Net points8
6Algae points26
30Total teleop62
Reef
2L4#4
1L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +51
6Foul points12
48Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8114
#32
23.00.1
20.620.5
Auto3.5
Teleop16.6
End2.9
blue by 12.0
8858
#10
35.02.2
25.928.1
Auto4.1
Teleop25.9
End5.0
Second
6645
#33
13.60.1
11.811.7
Auto3.0
Teleop7.8
End2.8
blue by 6.3
5052
#19
19.92.2
15.217.4
Auto2.7
Teleop15.0
End2.2
Third
9419
#34
13.50.2
11.711.4
Auto3.3
Teleop8.5
End1.7
red by 2.1
8750
#27
11.42.2
12.314.6
Auto2.9
Teleop6.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
15%Auto oddsMissed30%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed54%Barge oddsEarned