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Red96
951610.2
749247.3
12722.2
Blue117
505219.9
951221.6
589250.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions808720406010012014016096117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+7
Endgame+19
Fouls+21
AutonomousBlue +11
0Leave9
5Coral scored#5
23Coral points25
23Total auto34
TeleoperatedRed +4
14Coral scored#14
49Coral points49
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#1
12Processor points12
8Net points4
20Algae points16
69Total teleop65
Reef
6L4#5
4L3#7
4L2#3
5L1 · trough#4
23Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
0Foul points2
96Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.31.9
40.142.0
Auto11.7
Teleop33.5
End2.1
blue by 3.2
50.52.7
39.842.6
Auto13.1
Teleop31.8
End5.5
Second
127
#15
22.21.9
16.017.9
Auto3.2
Teleop17.6
End1.4
red by 0.6
9512
#31
21.62.7
17.219.9
Auto5.2
Teleop16.1
End0.2
Third
9516
#29
10.21.9
11.213.1
Auto3.0
Teleop5.7
End1.5
blue by 9.7
5052
#19
19.92.7
17.420.1
Auto2.7
Teleop15.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned23%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsEarned