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Red37
507016.6
875011.4
664513.6
Blue98
885835.0
624323.3
941913.5
27%Model gave it73%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50710204060801001201403798

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+67
Endgame+67
Fouls+61
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points7
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +60
3Coral scored#12
12Coral points42
1Processor algae#4
0Net algae#3
6Processor points24
0Net points12
6Algae points36
18Total teleop78
Reef
1L4#4
1L3#4
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
5Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +61
6Foul points0
37Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5070
#20
16.61.4
16.415.0
Auto3.9
Teleop9.6
End3.1
blue by 18.5
8858
#10
35.02.2
28.130.3
Auto4.1
Teleop25.9
End5.0
Second
6645
#33
13.61.4
11.710.3
Auto3.0
Teleop7.8
End2.8
blue by 9.8
6243
#11
23.32.2
17.920.1
Auto5.3
Teleop15.3
End2.8
Third
8750
#27
11.41.4
14.613.2
Auto2.9
Teleop6.3
End2.2
blue by 2.1
9419
#34
13.53.6
11.415.1
Auto3.3
Teleop8.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsMissed21%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsEarned54%Barge oddsMissed