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Red165
761618.2
592311.5
11897.5
Blue101
941913.5
32446.3
507016.6
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14274050100200165101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+64Teleop
+64Endgame
+64Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
9Leave6
4Coral scored#1
21Coral points6
30Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +46
20Coral scored#14
71Coral points49
3Processor algae#1
6Net algae#3
18Processor points6
24Net points12
42Algae points18
113Total teleop67
Reef
7L4#4
8L3#5
4L2#3
5L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#19
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +64
6Foul points6
165Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
97.52.1
92.995.0
Auto21.1
Teleop64.9
End11.5
red by 51.2
324
#4
46.30.9
38.739.6
Auto7.0
Teleop34.0
End5.4
Second
7616
#17
18.22.1
15.917.9
Auto4.3
Teleop11.0
End2.9
red by 1.6
5070
#20
16.60.9
15.016.0
Auto3.9
Teleop9.6
End3.1
Third
5923
#25
11.52.1
7.49.4
Auto2.1
Teleop7.4
End2.0
blue by 2.0
9419
#34
13.51.5
15.116.5
Auto3.3
Teleop8.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
63%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsEarned