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Red139
590827.3
589250.5
885835.0
Blue49
505219.9
711510.6
354530.4
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110715010015020013949

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+90Teleop
+90Endgame
+90Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
6Leave9
4Coral scored#0
20Coral points0
26Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +73
17Coral scored#6
61Coral points20
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#0
18Processor points6
20Net points0
38Algae points6
99Total teleop26
Reef
8L4#2
5L3#1
4L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
29Game pieces#7
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +90
0Foul points0
139Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.52.3
42.644.8
Auto13.1
Teleop31.8
End5.5
red by 20.0
30.41.6
32.030.4
Auto4.2
Teleop16.4
End9.8
Second
8858
#10
35.02.3
30.332.6
Auto4.1
Teleop25.9
End5.0
red by 15.1
5052
#19
19.91.6
20.118.5
Auto2.7
Teleop15.0
End2.2
Third
5908
#14
27.32.3
20.522.8
Auto4.3
Teleop21.3
End1.6
red by 16.6
7115
#22
10.61.6
11.910.3
Auto3.2
Teleop6.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned41%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsEarned80%Barge oddsEarned