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Red121
635734.8
354530.4
507016.6
Blue114
258540.1
952113.6
1011828.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10110650150200121114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+19Teleop
+19Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
0Leave6
3Coral scored#2
15Coral points10
15Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +20
15Coral scored#17
54Coral points60
3Processor algae#0
5Net algae#3
18Processor points0
20Net points12
38Algae points12
92Total teleop72
Reef
6L4#8
6L3#7
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#22
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points12
121Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.81.6
32.133.8
Auto5.9
Teleop25.5
End3.4
blue by 5.3
40.10.0
40.840.9
Auto6.5
Teleop25.7
End7.9
Second
30.41.6
30.432.1
Auto4.2
Teleop16.4
End9.8
red by 2.0
28.50.0
27.227.3
Auto6.1
Teleop13.9
End8.5
Third
5070
#20
16.61.6
15.417.0
Auto3.9
Teleop9.6
End3.1
red by 3.0
9521
#30
13.60.0
12.912.9
Auto1.7
Teleop9.8
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned97%Barge oddsEarned