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Red128
11897.5
711510.6
125519.1
Blue29
941913.5
875011.4
905113.3
100%Model gave it0%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1553205010020025012829

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+27Auto
+89Teleop
+101Endgame
+99Fouls
AutonomousRed +27
9Leave3
4Coral scored#0
21Coral points0
30Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +62
16Coral scored#3
58Coral points10
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
6Processor points0
12Net points4
18Algae points4
76Total teleop14
Reef
7L4#1
4L3#1
5L2#1
4L1 · trough#0
24Game pieces#4
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +99
6Foul points8
128Total score29

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
97.50.4
95.094.5
Auto21.1
Teleop64.9
End11.5
red by 84.0
9419
#34
13.52.1
16.514.4
Auto3.3
Teleop8.5
End1.7
Second
1255
#23
19.10.4
21.120.6
Auto3.9
Teleop12.8
End2.4
red by 5.8
9051
#21
13.31.6
14.112.5
Auto2.4
Teleop8.5
End2.5
Third
7115
#22
10.60.4
9.38.8
Auto3.2
Teleop6.3
End1.2
blue by 0.7
8750
#27
11.41.6
11.610.0
Auto2.9
Teleop6.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned32%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
69%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned48%Barge oddsEarned