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Red108
23149.4
951221.6
769118.5
Blue110
761618.2
258733.1
885835.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99102708090110120130140108110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+4
Endgame+14
Fouls+2
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave0
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points16
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +11
14Coral scored#14
49Coral points50
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
6Processor points12
12Net points16
18Algae points28
67Total teleop78
Reef
7L4#7
5L3#4
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
12Foul points0
108Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
231
#8
49.40.6
43.944.5
Auto8.6
Teleop32.1
End8.7
red by 14.4
8858
#10
35.01.5
33.234.7
Auto4.1
Teleop25.9
End5.0
Second
9512
#31
21.60.6
19.119.6
Auto5.2
Teleop16.1
End0.2
blue by 11.5
2587
#26
33.11.5
31.232.7
Auto7.7
Teleop23.7
End1.7
Third
7691
#24
18.50.6
18.719.2
Auto3.1
Teleop13.5
End1.9
red by 0.3
7616
#17
18.21.5
18.019.5
Auto4.3
Teleop11.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsMissed50%Barge oddsEarned