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Red67
811423.0
12722.2
1038521.4
Blue116
941913.5
11897.5
951610.2
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58145010020067116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+47
Endgame+57
Fouls+49
AutonomousBlue +21
0Leave6
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points21
6Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +26
11Coral scored#15
41Coral points53
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
0Processor points6
8Net points16
8Algae points22
49Total teleop75
Reef
4L4#7
3L3#6
2L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +49
8Foul points0
67Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8114
#32
23.00.2
22.021.8
Auto3.5
Teleop16.6
End2.9
blue by 74.5
118
#1
97.50.3
94.594.3
Auto21.1
Teleop64.9
End11.5
Second
127
#15
22.20.2
21.421.2
Auto3.2
Teleop17.6
End1.4
red by 8.7
9419
#34
13.50.3
14.414.1
Auto3.3
Teleop8.5
End1.7
Third
21.40.2
18.918.7
Auto2.7
Teleop16.5
End2.3
red by 11.2
9516
#29
10.20.3
10.810.6
Auto3.0
Teleop5.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsMissed91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed75%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed80%Barge oddsEarned