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Qual 632025 FIT District Space City @ Friendswood Event
Red141
1011828.5
12722.2
589250.5
Blue133
951221.6
258733.1
32446.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1151148090100110120130140150141133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+2
+10Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave0
4Coral scored#5
22Coral points26
22Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +2
22Coral scored#18
79Coral points63
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#5
12Processor points18
12Net points20
24Algae points38
103Total teleop101
Reef
12L4#7
8L3#7
3L2#6
3L1 · trough#3
31Game pieces#31
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points2
141Total score133

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5892
#2
50.52.2
45.3→47.4
Auto13.1
Teleop31.8
End5.5
red by 4.1
324
#4
46.31.5
42.4→44.0
Auto7.0
Teleop34.0
End5.4
Second
10118
#12
28.52.2
27.3→29.4
Auto6.1
Teleop13.9
End8.5
blue by 4.6
2587
#26
33.11.5
32.7→34.2
Auto7.7
Teleop23.7
End1.7
Third
127
#15
22.22.2
21.2→23.3
Auto3.2
Teleop17.6
End1.4
red by 0.6
9512
#31
21.61.5
19.6→21.2
Auto5.2
Teleop16.1
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned52%Barge oddsMissed