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Red55
505219.9
905113.3
125519.1
Blue73
354530.4
952415.6
542736.9
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions499601505573

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+14
Endgame+24
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +11
8Coral scored#9
27Coral points34
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
37Total teleop48
Reef
4L4#4
2L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
6Foul points0
55Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5052
#19
19.90.2
18.318.2
Auto2.7
Teleop15.0
End2.2
blue by 17.0
36.90.7
36.936.1
Auto4.5
Teleop25.6
End6.7
Second
1255
#23
19.10.2
20.620.5
Auto3.9
Teleop12.8
End2.4
blue by 11.4
30.40.7
32.131.3
Auto4.2
Teleop16.4
End9.8
Third
9051
#21
13.30.2
12.512.3
Auto2.4
Teleop8.5
End2.5
blue by 2.2
9524
#28
15.60.7
14.814.1
Auto2.7
Teleop12.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsMissed69%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsMissed70%Barge oddsEarned